I have compiled some statistical data based solely on National Rating for general consumption. As you may not aware that the initial seeding of chess players for team category in this edition of MSSM are not line up according to their respective National Rating (i.e. did not use National Rating , instead use last year MSSM result).
So I would like to retabulate the final ranking on the scenario What if all players are seeded according to the National Rating and how they fare at the end of the competition.
The analysis for Podium finishing (based on National Rating) as below:
Cat. >> Champion, Second, Third
U12B >> top rank, 2nd highest, 3rd highest
U15B >> top rank, 2nd highest, 7th highest
U18B >> top rank, 2nd highest, 3rd highest
U12G >> top rank, 3rd highest, 2nd highest
U15G >> top rank, 3rd highest, 2nd highest
U18G >> top rank, 3rd highest, 2nd highest
Findings:
1. You hv 100% chance [sure] to finish as Champion if your team have the highest National Rating accumulated from 4 players in your Team category. WOW!!!
2. You hv 0% chance to finish as Champion if your team ARE NOT with highest National Rating accumulated from 4 players in your Team category. JUST TOO BAD???
3. You hv 100% chance [sure] to finish on podium if your team have highest National Rating accumulated from 4 players in your Team category. WOW!!!
4. You hv 100% chance [sure] to finish on podium if your team are among the 2 teams with highest National Rating accumulated from 4 players in your Team category. WOW!!!
5. You hv 94% chance to finish on podium if your team are among the 3 teams with highest National Rating accumulated from 4 players in your Team category. GREAT!!
6. You hv 6% chance to finish on podium if your team ARE NOT among the 3 teams with highest National Rating accumulated from 4 players in your Team category. WORK HARDER NEXT TIME?
Conclusion:
1. Isn't this number look very sad for teams outside the "Big 3" chess powerhouse in Malaysia?
2. It is so bleak and very discouraging for those states to compete in the team event.
3. Looks like our National Rating is a superb benchmark indeed for Team event.
Saturday, June 4, 2011
MSSM 2011 (Chess Individual) Trivia Facts
I have compiled some statistical data based solely on National Rating for general consumption. As you may not aware that the initial seeding of chess players for this edition of MSSM are not line up according to their respective National Rating (i.e. not 100%), so I would like to retabulate the final ranking on the scenario What if all players are seeded according to the National Rating and how they fare at the end of the competition.
The analysis for Podium finishing (based on National Rating) as below:
Cat. >> Champion, Second, Third
U12B >> 4th highest, top rank, 2nd highest
U15B >> top rank, 2nd highest, 6th highest
U18B >> 2nd highest, 3rd highest, top rank
U12G >> top rank, 3rd highest, 4th highest
U15G >> top rank, 2nd highest, 13th highest
U18G >> top rank, 2nd highest, 3rd highest
Findings:
1. You hv 67% chance to finish as Champion if you have the highest National Rating in your Individual category. LOOKS GOOD!
2. You hv 83% chance to finish as Champion if you are among 3 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category.
3. You hv 17% chance to finish as Champion if you ARE NOT among 3 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category.
4. You hv 0% chance to finish as Champion if you ARE NOT among 4 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category. JUST TOO BAD???
5. You hv 100% chance [sure] to finish on podium if you have the highest National Rating in your Individual category. WOW!!!
6. You hv 78% chance to finish on podium if you are among 3 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category.
7. You hv 22% chance to finish on podium if you ARE NOT among 3 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category.
8. You hv 11% chance to finish on podium if you ARE NOT among 4 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category. WORK HARDER NEXT TIME?
Conclusion:
1. Isn't this number look bleak and very discouraging for those who are not among the highest 4 players on National Rating?
2. Our National Rating is a good benchmark to be used (100%) in MSSM Individual event.
The analysis for Podium finishing (based on National Rating) as below:
Cat. >> Champion, Second, Third
U12B >> 4th highest, top rank, 2nd highest
U15B >> top rank, 2nd highest, 6th highest
U18B >> 2nd highest, 3rd highest, top rank
U12G >> top rank, 3rd highest, 4th highest
U15G >> top rank, 2nd highest, 13th highest
U18G >> top rank, 2nd highest, 3rd highest
Findings:
1. You hv 67% chance to finish as Champion if you have the highest National Rating in your Individual category. LOOKS GOOD!
2. You hv 83% chance to finish as Champion if you are among 3 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category.
3. You hv 17% chance to finish as Champion if you ARE NOT among 3 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category.
4. You hv 0% chance to finish as Champion if you ARE NOT among 4 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category. JUST TOO BAD???
5. You hv 100% chance [sure] to finish on podium if you have the highest National Rating in your Individual category. WOW!!!
6. You hv 78% chance to finish on podium if you are among 3 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category.
7. You hv 22% chance to finish on podium if you ARE NOT among 3 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category.
8. You hv 11% chance to finish on podium if you ARE NOT among 4 players with highest National Rating in your Individual category. WORK HARDER NEXT TIME?
Conclusion:
1. Isn't this number look bleak and very discouraging for those who are not among the highest 4 players on National Rating?
2. Our National Rating is a good benchmark to be used (100%) in MSSM Individual event.
CTEP Camp Begins on 6th June (Monday)
On behalf of Creative Chess Enterprise, I would like to express my gratitude to all chess bloggers namely Andrew Ooi and Shamsuddin Sabri for featuring the CTEP Camp on your blogsites.
Also, I would like to thank Seng Sun, Chess Columnist for The Star, for putting up information about the CTEP camp for several consecutive weeks. Without the support from these friends, the Inaugural CTEP Camp will not be this successful.
For those who have registered for the Camp, please arrive early at the Venue: Sekolah Sri Bestari, Persiaran Margosa, Bandar Sri Damansara 52200 Kuala Lumpur [GPS Coordinates: 3°11'34"N 101°36'37"E] say by 8.30AM. In order to drive into the school compound, please mention your Child Name to the Security Guard for verification purposes.
Also, parents of the camp participants are invited to attend the Q & A session on 7th June (Day 2) begins from 2:15PM. I hope all parents are able to attend this 45 minutes session where I will explain on the road map relates to the topic on "What It Takes to become a National Player".
See you guys at the CTEP Camp.
Also, I would like to thank Seng Sun, Chess Columnist for The Star, for putting up information about the CTEP camp for several consecutive weeks. Without the support from these friends, the Inaugural CTEP Camp will not be this successful.
For those who have registered for the Camp, please arrive early at the Venue: Sekolah Sri Bestari, Persiaran Margosa, Bandar Sri Damansara 52200 Kuala Lumpur [GPS Coordinates: 3°11'34"N 101°36'37"E] say by 8.30AM. In order to drive into the school compound, please mention your Child Name to the Security Guard for verification purposes.
Also, parents of the camp participants are invited to attend the Q & A session on 7th June (Day 2) begins from 2:15PM. I hope all parents are able to attend this 45 minutes session where I will explain on the road map relates to the topic on "What It Takes to become a National Player".
See you guys at the CTEP Camp.
MSSM 2011 Final Result
What an interesting grand finale by Selangor. The team has staged a remarkable comeback on the last day of competition by putting up the best possible finishing after a disasterous Friday round and hope to improve as much as they could in the team categories standing.
After completing 5 rounds of team categories, Selangor is just in the running for 2 Silver and a Bronze but they end up winning 2 Silver and 3 Bronze which will contribute significantly to the points system. Also, WP improve from 4 Gold, 1 Silver and 1 Bronze medals before today to 4 Gold and 2 Silver medals. While, Penang grab 2 Gold and 2 Silver medals as compare to 2 Gold, 1 Silver and 2 Bronze position a day earlier.
The real stunning performance for Selangor come from the individual categories where they improve from 2 Gold, 2 Silver and 2 Bronze medal positions on Friday to 3 Gold, 3 Silver and 1 Bronze medals in the end of competition. The individual players from WP have mixed result in the final round where none of their Individual player finishes on podium. This does not augur well for them to collect sufficient points to capture the Overall title. As of press time, no news on whether which State emerge as the Overall Champion for Chess, MSSM 2011.
The breakdown on medal winners at the end of competition as below:- (Gold, Silver, Bronze)
U-12 Boys Individual >> Kedah, Selangor, Penang.
U-12 Girls Individual >> Selangor, Negeri Sembilan, Penang.
U-15 Boys Individual >> Penang, Selangor, Kedah.
U-15 Girls Individual >> Selangor, Kedah, Sarawak.
U-18 Boys Individual >> Selangor, Perak, Selangor.
U-18 Girls Individual >> Malacca, Selangor, Pahang.
U-12 Boys Team >> WP, Penang, Johor.
U-12 Girls Team >> Penang, WP, Selangor.
U-15 Boys Team >> WP, Selangor, Johor.
U-15 Girls Team >> WP, Selangor, Penang.
U-18 Boys Team >> Penang, WP, Selangor.
U-18 Girls Team >> WP, Penang, Selangor.
Medal tally after 6 rounds competition:-
WP >> 4 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Selangor >> 3 (Gold), 5 (Silver), 4 (Bronze);
Penang >> 3 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 3 (Bronze);
Kedah >> 1 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Malacca >> 1 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Negeri Sembilan >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Perak >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Johor >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Pahang >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Sarawak >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
If the calculation of points are based on the standard Merit-based system use in other sports at National-level/ Regional-level event i.e. Gold = 5 points, Silver = 3 points, Bronze = 1 point, then
Champion >> Selangor with 34 points;
2nd >> WP with 26 points;
3rd >> Penang with 24 points.
OR
If calculation is based on Olympic System (which favour Best of the Best aka Gold), then
Champion >> WP with 4 Gold medals;
2nd >> Selangor with 3 Gold medals plus 5 Silver medals;
3rd >> Penang with 3 Gold medals plus 2 Silver medals.
However, Chess in MSSM does not adopt any of these systems. Well, Chess in MSSM has its own way of calculation where points are awarded even to the last placing finisher in any given category. As from my understanding, this unique system (which is not based on merit way of calculation) is designed to encourage minor state in chess to send teams to take part in the annual event. So, every state can go back home with some points eventhough no medal is won by the contingent and able to explain to the respective Education Dept that they are not doing too badly and can improve their peformance in future editions.
After completing 5 rounds of team categories, Selangor is just in the running for 2 Silver and a Bronze but they end up winning 2 Silver and 3 Bronze which will contribute significantly to the points system. Also, WP improve from 4 Gold, 1 Silver and 1 Bronze medals before today to 4 Gold and 2 Silver medals. While, Penang grab 2 Gold and 2 Silver medals as compare to 2 Gold, 1 Silver and 2 Bronze position a day earlier.
The real stunning performance for Selangor come from the individual categories where they improve from 2 Gold, 2 Silver and 2 Bronze medal positions on Friday to 3 Gold, 3 Silver and 1 Bronze medals in the end of competition. The individual players from WP have mixed result in the final round where none of their Individual player finishes on podium. This does not augur well for them to collect sufficient points to capture the Overall title. As of press time, no news on whether which State emerge as the Overall Champion for Chess, MSSM 2011.
The breakdown on medal winners at the end of competition as below:- (Gold, Silver, Bronze)
U-12 Boys Individual >> Kedah, Selangor, Penang.
U-12 Girls Individual >> Selangor, Negeri Sembilan, Penang.
U-15 Boys Individual >> Penang, Selangor, Kedah.
U-15 Girls Individual >> Selangor, Kedah, Sarawak.
U-18 Boys Individual >> Selangor, Perak, Selangor.
U-18 Girls Individual >> Malacca, Selangor, Pahang.
U-12 Boys Team >> WP, Penang, Johor.
U-12 Girls Team >> Penang, WP, Selangor.
U-15 Boys Team >> WP, Selangor, Johor.
U-15 Girls Team >> WP, Selangor, Penang.
U-18 Boys Team >> Penang, WP, Selangor.
U-18 Girls Team >> WP, Penang, Selangor.
Medal tally after 6 rounds competition:-
WP >> 4 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Selangor >> 3 (Gold), 5 (Silver), 4 (Bronze);
Penang >> 3 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 3 (Bronze);
Kedah >> 1 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Malacca >> 1 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Negeri Sembilan >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Perak >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Johor >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Pahang >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Sarawak >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
If the calculation of points are based on the standard Merit-based system use in other sports at National-level/ Regional-level event i.e. Gold = 5 points, Silver = 3 points, Bronze = 1 point, then
Champion >> Selangor with 34 points;
2nd >> WP with 26 points;
3rd >> Penang with 24 points.
OR
If calculation is based on Olympic System (which favour Best of the Best aka Gold), then
Champion >> WP with 4 Gold medals;
2nd >> Selangor with 3 Gold medals plus 5 Silver medals;
3rd >> Penang with 3 Gold medals plus 2 Silver medals.
However, Chess in MSSM does not adopt any of these systems. Well, Chess in MSSM has its own way of calculation where points are awarded even to the last placing finisher in any given category. As from my understanding, this unique system (which is not based on merit way of calculation) is designed to encourage minor state in chess to send teams to take part in the annual event. So, every state can go back home with some points eventhough no medal is won by the contingent and able to explain to the respective Education Dept that they are not doing too badly and can improve their peformance in future editions.
Friday, June 3, 2011
MSSM 2011 After 5 Rounds
In this post, KL shall be renamed to WP (Wilayah Persekutuan i.e. KL plus Putrajaya but exclude Labuan) although all reps are from KL.
All categories except (U15 Boys Ind and Team) have completed 5 rounds with 1 more round to play.
The breakdown of medal contenders into the last round as below(Gold, Silver, Bronze):
U-12 Boys Individual >> Kedah, WP, Penang.
U-12 Girls Individual >> Selangor, Selangor, Sarawak.
U-15 Boys Individual >> Penang, Selangor, Kedah [6 rounds completed].
U-15 Girls Individual >> Kedah, Selangor, Perak.
U-18 Boys Individual >> Selangor, Perak, Selangor.
U-18 Girls Individual >> Malacca, Pahang, Selangor.
U-12 Boys Team >> WP, Johor, Penang.
U-12 Girls Team >> Penang, WP, Johor.
U-15 Boys Team >> WP, Selangor, Johor [6 rounds completed].
U-15 Girls Team >> WP, Selangor, Penang.
U-18 Boys Team >> Penang, Johor, WP.
U-18 Girls Team >> WP, Penang, Selangor.
Medal contenders as at 3rd June 2011, 8pm:-
WP >> 4 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Penang >> 3 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 3 (Bronze);
Selangor >> 2 (Gold), 5 (Silver), 3 (Bronze);
Kedah >> 2 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Malacca >> 1 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Johor >> 0 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Perak >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Pahang >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Sarawak >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
This WP team have take the Driver seat for the Overall Title based on the superb performance in Round 5 from the 6 categories (Team) with 4 Gold medals (U15 Boys is confirmed, U12 Boys and U15 Girls and U18 Girls are 99% secure). Both Selangor and Penang have failed in Round 5 and thus the Overall Champion title are now within the grip of WP.
WP would have crowned as the Overall Champion if the results are based on the Gold-Silver-Bronze medal tally since WP will take home a minimum number of 4 Gold medals. However, MSSM way of calculation is based on points system e.g. Champion = 10 points, Second = 8 points and continue down to the last placing in the category = 1 point. As I have mentioned earlier in my previous post, WP needs to improve the Individual result eventhough their players are not in contention for top three placing.
What a fantastic performance from WP in previous round!? How come both Selangor and Penang collapsed - Can either team stage a remarkable recovery in tomorrow last round? Or WP captures the Overall Champion title and Chess supreme stay within Klang Valley for the 8 consecutive years after reinstated back into MSSM Programme in 2004.
All categories except (U15 Boys Ind and Team) have completed 5 rounds with 1 more round to play.
The breakdown of medal contenders into the last round as below(Gold, Silver, Bronze):
U-12 Boys Individual >> Kedah, WP, Penang.
U-12 Girls Individual >> Selangor, Selangor, Sarawak.
U-15 Boys Individual >> Penang, Selangor, Kedah [6 rounds completed].
U-15 Girls Individual >> Kedah, Selangor, Perak.
U-18 Boys Individual >> Selangor, Perak, Selangor.
U-18 Girls Individual >> Malacca, Pahang, Selangor.
U-12 Boys Team >> WP, Johor, Penang.
U-12 Girls Team >> Penang, WP, Johor.
U-15 Boys Team >> WP, Selangor, Johor [6 rounds completed].
U-15 Girls Team >> WP, Selangor, Penang.
U-18 Boys Team >> Penang, Johor, WP.
U-18 Girls Team >> WP, Penang, Selangor.
Medal contenders as at 3rd June 2011, 8pm:-
WP >> 4 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Penang >> 3 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 3 (Bronze);
Selangor >> 2 (Gold), 5 (Silver), 3 (Bronze);
Kedah >> 2 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Malacca >> 1 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Johor >> 0 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Perak >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Pahang >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Sarawak >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
This WP team have take the Driver seat for the Overall Title based on the superb performance in Round 5 from the 6 categories (Team) with 4 Gold medals (U15 Boys is confirmed, U12 Boys and U15 Girls and U18 Girls are 99% secure). Both Selangor and Penang have failed in Round 5 and thus the Overall Champion title are now within the grip of WP.
WP would have crowned as the Overall Champion if the results are based on the Gold-Silver-Bronze medal tally since WP will take home a minimum number of 4 Gold medals. However, MSSM way of calculation is based on points system e.g. Champion = 10 points, Second = 8 points and continue down to the last placing in the category = 1 point. As I have mentioned earlier in my previous post, WP needs to improve the Individual result eventhough their players are not in contention for top three placing.
What a fantastic performance from WP in previous round!? How come both Selangor and Penang collapsed - Can either team stage a remarkable recovery in tomorrow last round? Or WP captures the Overall Champion title and Chess supreme stay within Klang Valley for the 8 consecutive years after reinstated back into MSSM Programme in 2004.
MSSM 2011 Medal Contenders
Most of the categories have conducted 4 rounds with 2 very important rounds to go.
The breakdown of medal contenders as below(Gold, Silver, Bronze):
U-12 Boys Individual >> Malacca, Kedah, KL.
U-12 Girls Individual >> Selangor, Selangor, Penang.
U-15 Boys Individual >> Penang, Selangor, Kedah. [After 5 rounds]
U-15 Girls Individual >> Kedah, Penang, Selangor.
U-18 Boys Individual >> Selangor, Perak, Selangor. [After 5 rounds]
U-18 Girls Individual >> Malacca, Selangor, Pahang.
U-12 Boys Team >> KL, Penang, Johor.
U-12 Girls Team >> Penang, KL, Selangor.
U-15 Boys Team >> Selangor, KL, Perak.
U-15 Girls Team >> KL, Kelantan, Penang.
U-18 Boys Team >> Penang, Johor, KL. [After 5 rounds]
U-18 Girls Team >> Penang, KL, Perak.
Medal contenders as at 3rd June 2011, 2pm:-
Penang >> 4 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Selangor >> 3 (Gold), 3 (Silver), 3 (Bronze);
KL >> 2 (Gold), 3 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Malacca >> 2 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Kedah >> 1 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Perak >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Johor >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Kelantan >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Pahang >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze).
Looks like Penang is on course to dump Defending Champion Selangor to win the Overall title. Will KL do Selangor a big favour in Round 5 battle since KL is paired against Penang in several categories. While, KL has an outside chance in the Overall title race but their representatives in some Individual categories who are not performing up to expectation must win the remaining 2 rounds.
The medal analysis listed above is based solely on the current position after completing this morning round. It should not be misconstrued as my personal analysis or opinion on the medal standing in the ongoing MSSM 2011. May the best performing state collectively be the Overall Champion!
The breakdown of medal contenders as below(Gold, Silver, Bronze):
U-12 Boys Individual >> Malacca, Kedah, KL.
U-12 Girls Individual >> Selangor, Selangor, Penang.
U-15 Boys Individual >> Penang, Selangor, Kedah. [After 5 rounds]
U-15 Girls Individual >> Kedah, Penang, Selangor.
U-18 Boys Individual >> Selangor, Perak, Selangor. [After 5 rounds]
U-18 Girls Individual >> Malacca, Selangor, Pahang.
U-12 Boys Team >> KL, Penang, Johor.
U-12 Girls Team >> Penang, KL, Selangor.
U-15 Boys Team >> Selangor, KL, Perak.
U-15 Girls Team >> KL, Kelantan, Penang.
U-18 Boys Team >> Penang, Johor, KL. [After 5 rounds]
U-18 Girls Team >> Penang, KL, Perak.
Medal contenders as at 3rd June 2011, 2pm:-
Penang >> 4 (Gold), 2 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Selangor >> 3 (Gold), 3 (Silver), 3 (Bronze);
KL >> 2 (Gold), 3 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Malacca >> 2 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Kedah >> 1 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Perak >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 2 (Bronze);
Johor >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 1 (Bronze);
Kelantan >> 0 (Gold), 1 (Silver), 0 (Bronze);
Pahang >> 0 (Gold), 0 (Silver), 1 (Bronze).
Looks like Penang is on course to dump Defending Champion Selangor to win the Overall title. Will KL do Selangor a big favour in Round 5 battle since KL is paired against Penang in several categories. While, KL has an outside chance in the Overall title race but their representatives in some Individual categories who are not performing up to expectation must win the remaining 2 rounds.
The medal analysis listed above is based solely on the current position after completing this morning round. It should not be misconstrued as my personal analysis or opinion on the medal standing in the ongoing MSSM 2011. May the best performing state collectively be the Overall Champion!
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